Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.140366 0.154694 0.169369 0.185493 0.202680 0.220424 0.240095
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.124560 0.147274 0.171662 0.199654 0.230752 0.264102 0.302430
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.111761 0.140565 0.172777 0.211120 0.255163 0.303829 0.361320
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.096919 0.129227 0.166749 0.212901 0.267491 0.329377 0.404190
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.082505 0.116489 0.157422 0.209343 0.272428 0.345604 0.435881
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.075776 0.112242 0.157502 0.216354 0.289386 0.375620 0.483666
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.069203 0.107375 0.156130 0.221011 0.303103 0.401606 0.526744
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.062880 0.102123 0.153664 0.223780 0.314123 0.424148 0.565697
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.056749 0.096491 0.150146 0.224717 0.322486 0.443231 0.600414
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.056097 0.098463 0.156752 0.238940 0.347948 0.483822 0.662063
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051838 0.094771 0.155272 0.242132 0.358992 0.506306 0.701367
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049139 0.093139 0.156460 0.248792 0.374536 0.534566 0.748130
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.044677 0.088662 0.153656 0.250268 0.383811 0.555736 0.787341
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.043377 0.089121 0.158057 0.261988 0.407205 0.595717 0.851375
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042076 0.089448 0.162220 0.273437 0.430438 0.635848 0.916187
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038351 0.085342 0.159387 0.274569 0.439337 0.657079 0.956640
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.033664 0.079090 0.152828 0.269893 0.439887 0.667078 0.982441
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.032233 0.078481 0.155017 0.278112 0.458569 0.701448 1.040464
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.030350 0.076854 0.155439 0.283605 0.473398 0.730746 1.092059
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028192 0.074484 0.154481 0.286881 0.485016 0.755753 1.138153
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.025824 0.071451 0.152218 0.287988 0.493414 0.776369 1.178518
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.026383 0.074337 0.160023 0.304926 0.525099 0.829292 1.262644
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.024685 0.072424 0.159509 0.308720 0.537524 0.855734 1.311362